Tight race unfolds for New York house seat replacement

A recent Newsday/Siena College poll has revealed a closely contested battle for the vacant New York House seat left by expelled former Representative George Santos. With just one week remaining until the election, the poll indicated that the two frontrunners are in a dead heat. According to the survey, former Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi, a previous holder of the seat, garnered 48 percent support from likely voters, while Republican Mazi Melesa Pilip, a Nassau County legislator, trailed closely with 44 percent. A small fraction of voters, approximately 7 percent, remained undecided as the crucial election approaches on Tuesday.

Neck-and-Neck race with significant margin of error

The poll's margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points signifies the neck-and-neck nature of the race. Both candidates were selected by local parties in New York City and Long Island to vie for the vacant seat left in the wake of Santos' unprecedented expulsion from the House in December. The expulsion came after Santos, a Republican, faced a 23-count federal indictment for alleged fraud and campaign finance violations, to which he pleaded not guilty.

Candidates' backgrounds and unexpected revelations

Before his expulsion, Suozzi declared his bid to return to Congress in October, following his unsuccessful primary challenge against New York Governor Kathy Hochul two years earlier. Notably, despite his success in local elections as a Republican, Pilip is a registered Democrat, an unexpected revelation uncovered by POLITICO.

Impending election and term duration

The forthcoming winner of the election will serve the remainder of Santos' unexpired term until the beginning of next year. The Newsday/Siena College poll gathered data from 694 likely voters between February 3rd and 6th by conducting phone interviews and reaching out to individuals listed on the district's voter registry. With the race intensifying, all eyes are on the impending election day, poised to shape the future of New York's political landscape.

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